Prediction Market Expert

Alignerr is a company focused on AI research, and they are seeking a Prediction Market Expert to evaluate real-world events through structured forecasting. The role involves reviewing prediction-related data, assigning likelihoods, and providing reasoning based on current events and intelligence signals.

Responsibilities:

• Review prediction-related data
• Assign likelihoods
• Provide clear reasoning grounded in current events, public information, and evolving intelligence signals
• Maintain high annotation accuracy

Requirements:

• Strong judgment
• Consistent analytical quality
• Ability to interpret rapidly changing news cycles
• Experience using platforms like Polymarket or Kalshi
• Ability to think probabilistically
• Ability to articulate reasoning clearly
• Maintain high annotation accuracy