Senior Manager, Forecasting – Rare Disease

Role Overview

• The Forecasting team at Amgen plays a pivotal role as a strategic partner to Commercial leadership, offering data-backed insights crucial for driving commercial success.
• As a Senior Manager of Forecasting, you will contribute significantly to the Rare Disease business, executing and managing discussions with brand leads.
• The individual in this role will need to thoughtfully influence and challenge a diverse set of stakeholders from Commercial, R&D, Medical, Finance, Manufacturing, Access, and Pricing/Contracting, while proficiently understanding the nuances of the particular disease area of interest and the market.
• Build and maintain robust forecasting models using advanced techniques (trend analysis, regression, scenario planning).
• Incorporate internal and external data (sales trends, competitive landscape, market research) to refine forecasts.
• Conduct regular forecast reviews and adjust as needed based on market dynamics, sales performance and strategic changes.
• Collaborate with cross-functional teams to align forecasts with business strategies.
• Provide insights on performance drivers and potential risks and opportunities impacting the forecasts.
• Present forecasts and supporting insights to senior leadership and other stakeholders.
• Work closely with supply chain teams to ensure forecasts align with inventory and operational planning.
• Serve as the subject matter expert on forecast assumptions and methodologies.
• Leverage data visualization tools (Tableau, Power BI) to communicate insights effectively.
• Utilize forecasting software and statistical tools to improve accuracy and efficiency.
• Continuously explore and implement new data sources and analytical techniques to enhance forecasting processes.
• Oversight of one contingent worker.

Requirements

• Doctorate degree and 2 years of forecasting, analytics or finance experience OR Master’s degree and 4 years of forecasting, analytics or finance experience OR Bachelor’s degree and 6 years of forecasting, analytics or finance experience OR Associate’s degree and 10 years of forecasting, analytics or finance experience OR High school diploma / GED and 12 years of forecasting, analytics or finance experience
• Ability to quickly establish credibility with and influence ED/VP level staff
• Knowledge and experience working with industry internal and secondary data sources; experience doing analog and uptake curve analysis
• Proficiency in advanced forecasting techniques, statistical modeling and data analysis
• Highly skilled in working collaboratively in a team-based environment and gaining alignment across an organization
• High level of proficiency in Excel, PowerPoint and Power BI
• Excellent communication skills with the ability to present complex data and insights to both technical and non-technical stakeholders
• Partnership with business leaders to deliver high-quality predictions guiding strategic decision-making
• Ability to interpret and analyze data trends, identify patterns and make data-driven decisions
• Experience with Monte Carlo analysis and statistical trending.

Tech Stack

• Tableau

Benefits

• A comprehensive employee benefits package, including a Retirement and Savings Plan with generous company contributions
• group medical, dental and vision coverage
• life and disability insurance
• flexible spending accounts
• A discretionary annual bonus program, or for field sales representatives, a sales-based incentive plan
• Stock-based long-term incentives
• Award-winning time-off plans
• Flexible work models where possible.